World Cup 2026 Predictions

Win probabilities computed from FIFA rankings and recent form — statistical estimates for analysis only, not betting advice.

FLow confidence

Portugal

2 – 2FT

Senegal

Portugal 47%Draw 25%28% Senegal

·Portugal ranked #6 (vs #17)
·Portugal in stronger recent form (WWLWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group AHigh confidence

Mexico

2 – 177′

South Africa

Mexico 72%Draw 15%13% South

Projected Score

2 – 0

·Mexico ranked #14 (vs #66)
·Mexico in stronger recent form (WWDLW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group BLow confidence

Spain

1 – 060′

Japan

Spain 45%Draw 25%30% Japan

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Spain ranked #8 (vs #18)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group AMedium confidence

Netherlands

Ecuador

Netherlands 60%Draw 20%20% Ecuador

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Netherlands ranked #7 (vs #32)
·Netherlands in stronger recent form (WDWWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group CLow confidence

USA

1 – 1HT

Iran

USA 47%Draw 25%28% Iran

Projected Score

2 – 1

·USA ranked #11 (vs #20)
·USA in stronger recent form (DWWDW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group BMedium confidence

Albania

Chile

Albania 31%Draw 20%49% Chile

Projected Score

1 – 2

·Chile ranked #42 (vs #64)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group CMedium confidence

England

Wales

England 62%Draw 20%18% Wales

Projected Score

2 – 1

·England ranked #4 (vs #29)
·England in stronger recent form (WWWDW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group DMedium confidence

France

Australia

France 58%Draw 20%22% Australia

Projected Score

2 – 1

·France ranked #2 (vs #24)
·France in stronger recent form (WWLWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group ELow confidence

Brazil

Korea Republic

Brazil 52%Draw 25%23% Korea

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Brazil ranked #5 (vs #23)
·Brazil in stronger recent form (WDWLW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group DMedium confidence

Argentina

Canada

Argentina 66%Draw 20%14% Canada

Projected Score

2 – 0

·Argentina ranked #1 (vs #36)
·Argentina in stronger recent form (WWWWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group GLow confidence

Belgium

Croatia

Belgium 44%Draw 25%31% Croatia

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Belgium ranked #3 (vs #10)
·Belgium in stronger recent form (WWWDW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group ELow confidence

Germany

Morocco

Germany 39%Draw 25%36% Morocco

Projected Score

1 – 1

·Germany ranked #12 (vs #13)
·Germany in stronger recent form (WDWWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

FLow confidence

Uruguay

Nigeria

Uruguay 48%Draw 25%27% Nigeria

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Uruguay ranked #15 (vs #30)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group GLow confidence

Qatar

Cameroon

Qatar 30%Draw 25%45% Cameroon

Projected Score

1 – 2

·Cameroon ranked #43 (vs #58)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group HLow confidence

Italy

Colombia

Italy 45%Draw 25%30% Colombia

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Italy ranked #9 (vs #19)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group HMedium confidence

Denmark

Ghana

Denmark 63%Draw 20%17% Ghana

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Denmark ranked #21 (vs #60)
·Denmark in stronger recent form (WDLWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group ILow confidence

Switzerland

Serbia

Switzerland 47%Draw 25%28% Serbia

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Switzerland ranked #22 (vs #33)
·Switzerland in stronger recent form (WDWWL)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group ILow confidence

Tunisia

Ivory Coast

Tunisia 49%Draw 25%26% Ivory

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Tunisia ranked #35 (vs #51)
·Tunisia in stronger recent form (DWLWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group JLow confidence

Poland

Austria

Poland 35%Draw 25%40% Austria

Projected Score

1 – 1

·Austria ranked #25 (vs #28)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group JLow confidence

Egypt

Jamaica

Egypt 47%Draw 25%28% Jamaica

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Egypt ranked #38 (vs #55)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group LLow confidence

Panama

Costa Rica

Panama 27%Draw 25%48% Costa

Projected Score

1 – 2

·Costa Rica ranked #50 (vs #62)
·Costa Rica in stronger recent form (WDWLL)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group KLow confidence

Turkey

Saudi Arabia

Turkey 48%Draw 25%27% Saudi

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Turkey ranked #40 (vs #55)
·Turkey in stronger recent form (WDLWW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group LLow confidence

Ukraine

Paraguay

Ukraine 52%Draw 25%23% Paraguay

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Ukraine ranked #27 (vs #45)
·Ukraine in stronger recent form (WDWLW)
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Group KMedium confidence

Jordan

New Zealand

Jordan 51%Draw 20%29% New

Projected Score

2 – 1

·Jordan ranked #70 (vs #100)
·Similar recent form for both sides
·Neutral venue — no home advantage

Statistical estimate for entertainment only — not betting advice.

Jul 5–8Round of 16— predictions unlock once teams advance

Jul 11–12Quarter-finals— predictions unlock once teams advance

Jul 15–16Semi-finals— predictions unlock once teams advance

Jul 19Final & Third Place— predictions unlock once teams advance